21st April 2025

A simple calculation has already qualified Ghana black stars to the 1/16 stage of the 2023 Afcon. No shaking! Try to follow these simple calculations.

After their win against Mozambique, Cape Verde already has two wins from two games and has thus already qualified for the round of 16 of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON). They do so as winners of Group B too with a game to spare.

The remaining clubs in Group B, nevertheless, still have a chance to advance to the next round. Why does that exist? The round of 16 can be reached by four of the six third-placed teams. However, what needs to occur for the Black Stars to truly be present?

Scenario

1: Egypt loses to Cape Verde but Ghana triumphs over Mozambique. Following that, Ghana would place second in their group and advance to the round of 16. In that case, they would play the Group F runners-up, which are Tanzania, Morocco, Zambia, and the Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Scenario

2: Egypt ties Cape Verde, but Ghana triumphs over Mozambique. Ghana will advance as runners-up and face the runners-up from Group F, just like in scenario 1.

In scenario three, Ghana defeats Mozambique and Egypt defeats Cape Verde. With four points, Ghana would place third in the group and have a strong chance of making it to the round of 16.

Scenario

4: Egypt defeats Cape Verde, but Ghana and Mozambique tie. Ghana would need to hope that there are poorer third-place teams in two other groups if they were to finish third in the group with two points.

Scenario

5: Egypt draws with Cape Verde, while Ghana draws with Mozambique. Ghana would receive two points for finishing third in the group, and they would have to pray that the other two groups’ third-place teams weren’t any worse.

Scenario

6: Egypt defeats Cape Verde, and Ghana draws with Mozambique. Here, it is dependent upon how much Egypt has lost. Both sides would be tied on goal differential if it were just by one goal. Whoever has scored the most goals qualifies in that scenario. In the event of equality, the person with the fewest disciplinary points wins. A draw is made in the event of a tie as well.

Ghana loses in the scenario

7. Regardless of Egypt’s outcome, the Black Stars will need to depart.

Before the third and final group stage match, Ghana will currently have to wait and see how many points the third-placed teams from the other groups have. But Ghana would benefit most from defeating Mozambique on Monday—as much as possible.

No shaking!

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